Archive for the ‘Market Condition’ Category

Subprime Lender Troubles

Saturday, March 31st, 2007

An increase in defaults in subprime mortgages originated by small lenders over the last couple of years has prompted big banks and investors that purchased these mortgages to order the lenders to buy them back.

Many of these subprime originators are now facing bankruptcy because  they don’t have the money to comply with these repurchase demands.

New Century Financial is among the lenders on the brink of bankruptcy due to repurchase orders from Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs Group, Credit Suisse Group, IXIS Real Estate Capital Inc. and Bank of America Corp.

Frank Ramos, REALTOR, e-PRO
Real Estate Consultant
http://www.northvirginiahomes.com/

Jobin Realty
Manassas, VA  20110

Existing Home Sales Report

Saturday, March 31st, 2007

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their existing home sales report recently showing existing home sales are still off 3.4 percent from one year earlier. The report also indicated that home values fell 1.5 percent from just one year earlier, which makes it the the 7th straight month that home values have declined.

Single-family home sales are 3.4 percent below the 6.09 million-unit pace in February 2006.  The median existing single-family home price was $211,100 in February, down 1.5 percent from a year ago.

The report included some more bad news for total housing inventorys levels which rose 5.9 percent at the end  of February to 3.75 million existing homes available for sale which is a 6.7 month supply at the current sales pace compared with a 6.6 month supply in Janaury.  The rise in inventory will likely put further downward pressure on home prices.

Existing home sales in the Northereast surged 14.2 percent to a level of 1.21 million in February, and are 3.4 percent higher than February 2006.  The median existing home price in the Northereast was $265,900, down 1.4 percent from a year ago.

Speculation about a recovery in the housing market, in particular the new home market, has centered around the rising costs of material and labor for builders and the still favorable interest rate market.  In addition, the Northern Virginia Metro area employment growth will certainly work in our favor.

Frank Ramos, REALTOR, e-PRO
Real Estate Consultant
http://www.northvirginiahomes.com/

Jobin Realty
Manassas, VA 20110

November Home Sales Up

Sunday, December 31st, 2006

November brought some welcome news that Existing home sales were up but the price of homes sold in November fell for the fourth consecutive month. 

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of previously owned homes rose 0.6 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.28 million units. That followed a 0.5 percent sales increase in October and marked the first back-to-back sales gains since the spring of 2005. 

The median price for an existing home sold in November dropped to $218,000, down 3.1 percent from the price a year ago. It was the first time on record that sales prices compared to a year ago have fallen for four straight months. The report on existing home sales offered some hope that the housing slump may be bottoming out. It followed a report Wednesday that showed that new home sales rose 3.4 percent in November, the third gain in the past four months. Rates on 30-year mortgages rose for a third straight week as investors viewed improving economic reports as a sign that the Federal Reserve will not quickly cut interest rates

Mortgage giant Freddie Mac reported Thursday that 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.18 percent this week. That was up from 6.13 percent last week. However, it was still well below the high point for this year, which was 6.80 percent back in July.

The increase in recent weeks came after a prolonged slide in rates, which helped set the state for a rebound in sales of both new and existing homes.

Frank Ramos, REALTOR, e-PRO
Real Estate Consultant
http://www.northvirginiahomes.com/

Jobin Realty
Manassas, VA 20110

Seller Market Update

Thursday, August 31st, 2006

Frankly speaking, it’s starting to look a little brutal here for home sellers.  We’re seeing $50,000 – $100,000 price ”reductions” frequently now and there are small signs of what I would call a “quiet, measured, panic!”. 

In short, Bad Things are Happening

Lots of sellers out there.  Some, trying to preserve what equity they have left, others who bought at the top of the market last year are trying to sell and even some who bought earlier this year are worried about a prolonged period of price reductions and are trying to bail out.  The worst are those who HAVE TO SELL, for financial reasons, and can’t.

Recent reports indicate that home sales in Virginia are down about 24% in the April – June quarter this year compared to 2005.  The Northern Virginia Association of Realtors is reporting that July sales were off by a whopping 39% in Northern Virginia!  How’s that for a soft  landing!

The news is even worse for Prince William, Loudoun and the Greater Piedmont counties with sales down 44%.  The number of homes for sale is up 147%.  I continue to hear about Realtors leaving the business and have started getting emails from other Realtors about homes facing foreclosure. 

My Best advice is, if you don’t HAVE to sell in the next year or so…wait this one out.  It appears that it may get worse before it gets better.

Frank Ramos, REALTOR, e-PRO
Real Estate Consultant
http://www.northvirginiahomes.com/

Soft Landing for the Housing Market ?

Saturday, July 22nd, 2006

When interest rates started rising last year and homes sales started slowing, we heard a lot of reassuring talk from the fed and various economists about a so called “soft landing” for the housing market.

Well, if this is a “soft landing” for the housing market, let me be one of the first to announce, IT DOESN’T FEEL VERY SOFT!  At least not from the perspective of many Northern Virginia Realtors and homeowners.  Some Realtors are looking for part-time jobs and, in some cases, leaving the field altogether.  Don’t get me wrong.  I’m not suggesting we shed a lot of tears for Realtors.  This is the nature of the business and those that can adapt and survive will learn some valuable lessons and end-up stronger in the long run.

Similarly, many homeowners in Norther Virginia who enjoyed double-digit gains and profits on their homes when they sold, are now in the position of having to reduce their prices and make other concessions in order to sell their home.  Not to mention the predicament of people with adjustable rate mortages. 

This is the price that needs to be paid for the excessive growth in the housing market in the past few years.  When the pendulum swings too far in one direction, it’s sure to swing back.

My real point is that, we need to face reality and decide on a strategy to effectively deal with the situation from our own perspective as a Federal Regulator, Realtor or homeowner.  Denial won’t help.

The reality is that in many areas of Northern Virginia home prices are not stablizing.  They are dropping.

Federal regulators who are responsible for making decisions regarding our economy need to get out in the “field” and take notice of what’s going on.  It’s not all a numbers game. There are real people behind those numbers. They need to be aware of how we are all affected by this “slowdown”, what we are likely to do about it and what are the consequences of our actions on a national scale should we collectively reach a “tipping point’.

As Realtors, we need to tell homeowners the truth and not continue to provide reassuring advice that is based on wishful thinking.  At some point it isn’t credible to keep telling people that home prices are stablizing or that we exepct a “soft landing” while we are reducing prices $50,000 – $100,000 in order to sell them. 

As a homeowner, you need to decide on a strategy to realistically price and sell your home now or hang-on and wait the market out.  How long ?  Who really knows!  I would plan for a few years at least.

Of course, if you are a hombuyer, let’s talk!

Frank Ramos, REALTOR, e-PRO
Real Estate Consultant
Frank@NorthVirginiaHomes.com
http://www.NorthVirginiaHomes.com